Not Exactly a Stalemate Now Is It? — How Most Misjudged Ukraine
Despite criticism that Ukraine’s efforts have resulted in a “stalemate,” the truth is not so simple. Even prior to Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk, Russia, three weeks ago, the casualties on both sides caused many to think that the Russo-Ukrainian war was deeply unsustainable.
At a certain point, Ukrainians or Russians will have to give in to the casualties and retreat in some significant (or insignificant) way.
A stalemate assumes that there can be no territorial advancements, but there is more at stake than simply territory in Ukraine. On top of that, Ukrainian resistance against Russia heavily relies on Western — and primarily US — military support.
So, what we’re seeing in Ukraine isn’t exactly a stalemate in the long-term, even though it looks like one in the short-term. Support may wane. International attention might shift elsewhere. And Ukrainians could grow weary with the high casualty rates they are seeing across the country.
As the full-scale war continues into its third year, we are reaching a dire moment. Casualties continue to mount, Ukraine’s economy has shrunk with a large brain drain from the country, and to top all this off, Donald Trump’s possible reelection cotninues to loom in the US (and, with it, “America First” foreign policy) — despite Kamala Harris’ newfound popularity.
